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Mayar da hankali | hargitsin tattalin arziki! Hanyar sauya manufofin Amurka, Turai da Japan yana da wuyar tantancewa

2024-08-29

Tun daga ranar 15 ga Agusta, Amurka ta fitar da bayanan tattalin arzikinta na kwata na biyu. Amurka, Turai da Japan sun guje wa mummunan hasashen koma bayan tattalin arziki a farkon rabin shekara kuma tattalin arzikin ya kasance mai juriya. Yawan ci gaban manyan ƙasashe uku na tattalin arziki ya bambanta a fili, tare da Amurka sama da 2%.Block Terminal,D-sub hoodkumaYa kamata a lura da Mai Magana da Bike.

A wani lokaci mai zuwa, tasirin hauhawar riba mai yawa ko hauhawar hauhawar farashin kayayyaki har yanzu zai haifar da kasada, kuma manyan kasashe uku na tattalin arziki duk suna fuskantar zabin canjin manufofin, amma har yanzu hanyar tana da wahalar tantancewa.

Amurka: Tasirin yawan riba mai yawa akan ayyukan tattalin arziki

A farkon rabin farkon wannan shekara, tattalin arzikin Amurka ya ragu da farko sannan kuma ya tashi.

Tattalin arzikin a cikin kwata na biyu ya haɓaka sosai idan aka kwatanta da kwata na farko, amma bayanai a farkon rabin shekara idan aka kwatanta da rabin na biyu na bara har yanzu suna nuna gagarumin koma baya a ci gaban tattalin arziki.

Bloomberg ya ba da rahoton cewa kashe-kashen masu amfani da faffadan ayyukan tattalin arziƙi sun yi sanyi a ƙarƙashin matsin lamba daga ƙimar riba mai girma.

Real GROSS na cikin gida (GDP) ya karu da kashi 4.9% da 3.4% a kashi na uku da na hudu na bara, a cewar Sashen Kasuwanci. Ya girma da kashi 1.4% a cikin kwata na farko, fiye da yadda ake tsammanin yarjejeniya a kwata na biyu.

A kan bayanan hauhawar farashin kayayyaki da aka sa ido sosai, ma'aunin farashin kashe mabukaci na Fed (PCE), alamar hauhawar farashin kayayyaki da aka fi so, ya tashi da kashi 2.6% a adadin shekara-shekara a kwata na biyu, ya ragu daga 3.4% a farkon kwata.

Ban da ƙarancin abinci da farashin makamashi, ainihin PCE ya tashi a ƙimar 2.9% na shekara-shekara a cikin kwata na biyu, shima ya ragu sosai daga 3.7% a farkon kwata.

Adadin rashin aikin yi na Amurka ya karu da kashi 0.1 a wata-wata zuwa kashi 4.1 a watan Yuni, matakin da ya kai tun Nuwamba 2021, wanda ke nuna wata na uku a jere.

Masanin tattalin arziki na Bloomberg Eliza Wenger yana tsammanin sanyaya kasuwannin ƙwadago da rage haɓakar samun kuɗin shiga don ƙara rura wutar raguwar kashe kuɗin masarufi.

《 Mujallar Wall Street Journal ta lura cewa, yayin da tattalin arzikin kasar ke tafiya yadda ya kamata ta hanyoyi da dama kuma hauhawar farashin kayayyaki ya ragu, yawancin Amurkawa ba su ji dadin tsadar kayan abinci da motoci da gidaje fiye da yadda suke yi a shekaru da dama da suka gabata.

Bloomberg ya ba da rahoton cewa saka hannun jari na zama yana yin mummunan tasiri ga ci gaban tattalin arziki a karon farko cikin shekara guda, saboda yawan kuɗin jinginar gida yana iyakance ayyukan tallace-tallace da sabbin ayyukan gini.

Bugu da ƙari, raguwar haɓakar haɓakar kuɗin shiga na sirri na iya nufin raguwar ƙarfin kashe kuɗi na gaba.

Har ila yau, tattalin arzikin Amurka yana fuskantar jerin rashin tabbas.

Bisa ga littafin Fed's Beige Book, masu amsa suna tsammanin za a samu koma baya cikin watanni shida masu zuwa saboda damuwa game da zaben Amurka mai zuwa, manufofin cikin gida, rikice-rikicen yanki da rashin tabbas na hauhawar farashin kayayyaki.

Desmond Rahman, masanin tattalin arziki a Cibiyar Harkokin Kasuwancin Amurka, ya yi imanin cewa, haɗarin haɗari da yawa na iya haifar da illa ga tattalin arzikin Amurka.

Wadannan hatsarori sun hada da yiwuwar "sakamakon bala'i" a cikin gidaje na kasuwanci, wanda zai iya haifar da rikicin banki na yanki, da tsananta manufofin kariyar gwamnatin Amurka, da kuma yiwuwar yaduwar rikici tsakanin Isra'ila da Falasdinu zuwa sauran Gabas ta Tsakiya.

Da aka tambaye shi ko tsammanin ragi na watan Satumba yana da ma'ana, Shugaban Fed Colin Powell ya ce a wani taron manema labarai bayan taron na Yuli cewa ba a yanke shawara kan shawarwarin taron na gaba ba.

Amma ya ce bayanan hauhawar farashin kayayyaki na baya-bayan nan sun kara karfin Fed a kan hauhawar farashin kayayyaki.

"Muna tunanin lokacin rage kudin ruwa ya gabato.

"Yan kasuwa suna tsammanin Fed zai yanke damar kashi 56.5 da kuma kashi 53.5 bisa dari na kashi 50 da aka yanke a taron Satumba.

A ranar 31 ga Yuli, 'yan kasuwa suna tsammanin damar 85.5% cewa Fed zai rage yawan riba ta hanyar maki 25 a taron Satumba.